Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017632 0.019619 0.021616 0.023767 0.026014 0.028286 0.030752
2025-03-30 0.013523 0.016609 0.019843 0.023454 0.027347 0.031392 0.035893
2025-04-06 0.010787 0.014442 0.018409 0.022963 0.027984 0.033301 0.039311
2025-04-13 0.008331 0.012253 0.016667 0.021871 0.027732 0.034040 0.041267
2025-04-20 0.007235 0.011479 0.016391 0.022297 0.029045 0.036390 0.044877
2025-04-27 0.005932 0.010310 0.015546 0.021976 0.029436 0.037647 0.047217
2025-05-04 0.004736 0.009142 0.014602 0.021457 0.029530 0.038511 0.049066
2025-05-11 0.004043 0.008548 0.014301 0.021647 0.030399 0.040212 0.051813
2025-05-18 0.003297 0.007795 0.013742 0.021482 0.030815 0.041367 0.053916
2025-05-25 0.002529 0.006908 0.012948 0.020980 0.030794 0.041989 0.055389
2025-06-01 0.001953 0.006221 0.012364 0.020698 0.031005 0.042851 0.057109
2025-06-08 0.001428 0.005522 0.011711 0.020293 0.031037 0.043482 0.058544
2025-06-15 0.001056 0.005058 0.011420 0.020419 0.031811 0.045100 0.061258
2025-06-22 0.000642 0.004394 0.010808 0.020127 0.032093 0.046170 0.063387
2025-06-29 0.000312 0.003719 0.010106 0.019669 0.032135 0.046929 0.065132
2025-07-06 0.000058 0.002877 0.009041 0.018656 0.031435 0.046771 0.065780
2025-07-13 0.000012 0.002684 0.009009 0.019051 0.032505 0.048724 0.068884
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002247 0.008505 0.018753 0.032669 0.049568 0.070673
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001794 0.007898 0.018271 0.032571 0.050076 0.072049
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001598 0.007754 0.018448 0.033319 0.051607 0.074627
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001323 0.007401 0.018294 0.033620 0.052579 0.076534
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000995 0.006863 0.017829 0.033488 0.053005 0.077776
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000761 0.006474 0.017568 0.033614 0.053738 0.079376